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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.81+1.09vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.08+1.08vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy0.79+2.13vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.80+1.21vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.91-1.64vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.18-1.47vs Predicted
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7Maine Maritime Academy0.27-0.98vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.19-1.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.09Bowdoin College2.810.4%1st Place
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3.08Tufts University2.080.2%1st Place
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5.13Maine Maritime Academy0.790.1%1st Place
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5.21Boston University0.800.1%1st Place
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3.36University of Rhode Island1.910.1%1st Place
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4.53Northeastern University1.180.1%1st Place
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6.02Maine Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
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6.59Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Hall | 43.1% | 26.4% | 16.2% | 8.5% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Trammell | 19.3% | 22.0% | 21.7% | 17.0% | 11.6% | 6.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Nalu Ho | 5.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 16.3% | 18.7% | 17.6% | 11.9% |
| Nicholas Hardy | 5.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 16.7% | 20.0% | 18.8% | 11.5% |
| Henry Lee | 14.7% | 20.8% | 19.9% | 18.7% | 14.5% | 7.7% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Carter Brock | 7.5% | 8.9% | 15.1% | 17.4% | 17.1% | 17.1% | 10.9% | 6.0% |
| Luke Healy | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 15.3% | 25.1% | 27.2% |
| Tucker Braun | 1.4% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 8.7% | 13.9% | 22.2% | 42.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.