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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.08+2.03vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.81+0.15vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy0.27+2.94vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.80+1.19vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.91-1.65vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy0.79-0.83vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.18-2.41vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.19-1.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.03Tufts University2.080.2%1st Place
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2.15Bowdoin College2.810.4%1st Place
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5.94Maine Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
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5.19Boston University0.800.0%1st Place
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3.35University of Rhode Island1.910.2%1st Place
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5.17Maine Maritime Academy0.790.1%1st Place
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4.59Northeastern University1.180.1%1st Place
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6.59Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Trammell | 21.5% | 21.7% | 21.5% | 15.5% | 11.4% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Thomas Hall | 39.6% | 29.4% | 15.2% | 9.8% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Luke Healy | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 14.6% | 25.4% | 25.5% |
| Nicholas Hardy | 4.8% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 15.9% | 20.7% | 17.9% | 11.6% |
| Henry Lee | 16.1% | 18.7% | 21.6% | 17.2% | 15.1% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Nalu Ho | 5.2% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 20.4% | 16.7% | 12.3% |
| Carter Brock | 7.8% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 18.8% | 17.8% | 16.1% | 12.4% | 6.5% |
| Tucker Braun | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 13.8% | 22.3% | 42.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.