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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University0.80+4.10vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.81+0.13vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy0.27+2.97vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.18+0.56vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.91-1.60vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy0.79-0.85vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.19-0.37vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.08-4.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.1Boston University0.800.1%1st Place
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2.13Bowdoin College2.810.4%1st Place
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5.97Maine Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
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4.56Northeastern University1.180.1%1st Place
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3.4University of Rhode Island1.910.2%1st Place
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5.15Maine Maritime Academy0.790.1%1st Place
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6.63Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.190.0%1st Place
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3.05Tufts University2.080.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Hardy | 5.2% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 15.4% | 19.9% | 18.3% | 10.3% |
| Thomas Hall | 41.9% | 25.2% | 17.8% | 9.2% | 4.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Luke Healy | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 15.7% | 26.7% | 24.5% |
| Carter Brock | 7.6% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 15.4% | 19.3% | 17.6% | 11.6% | 5.6% |
| Henry Lee | 15.1% | 20.9% | 19.0% | 18.1% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Nalu Ho | 5.4% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 17.2% | 17.8% | 18.6% | 11.2% |
| Tucker Braun | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 12.8% | 19.4% | 47.1% |
| Bryan Trammell | 19.1% | 22.8% | 21.7% | 16.9% | 12.0% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.