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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.81+1.07vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.80+3.21vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.18+1.51vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.91-0.67vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.08-1.87vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.19+0.63vs Predicted
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7Maine Maritime Academy0.27-0.99vs Predicted
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8Maine Maritime Academy0.79-2.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.07Bowdoin College2.810.4%1st Place
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5.21Boston University0.800.1%1st Place
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4.51Northeastern University1.180.1%1st Place
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3.33University of Rhode Island1.910.2%1st Place
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3.13Tufts University2.080.2%1st Place
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6.63Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.190.0%1st Place
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6.01Maine Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
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5.11Maine Maritime Academy0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Hall | 43.3% | 28.7% | 13.8% | 8.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Hardy | 5.0% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 17.6% | 19.9% | 19.8% | 10.6% |
| Carter Brock | 7.3% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 15.1% | 18.3% | 17.4% | 12.1% | 4.8% |
| Henry Lee | 15.8% | 18.6% | 21.1% | 19.8% | 14.7% | 6.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Bryan Trammell | 19.2% | 20.4% | 21.5% | 18.3% | 11.8% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Tucker Braun | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 8.1% | 12.8% | 19.2% | 46.8% |
| Luke Healy | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 16.9% | 25.5% | 26.6% |
| Nalu Ho | 4.1% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 14.5% | 17.3% | 18.7% | 18.4% | 9.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.