← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island1.91+2.27vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University2.08+1.09vs Predicted
-
3Bowdoin College2.81-0.90vs Predicted
-
4Boston University0.80+1.18vs Predicted
-
5Northeastern University1.18-0.44vs Predicted
-
6Maine Maritime Academy0.27-0.02vs Predicted
-
7Maine Maritime Academy0.79-1.78vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.19-1.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.27University of Rhode Island1.910.2%1st Place
-
3.09Tufts University2.080.2%1st Place
-
2.1Bowdoin College2.810.4%1st Place
-
5.18Boston University0.800.1%1st Place
-
4.56Northeastern University1.180.1%1st Place
-
5.98Maine Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
-
5.22Maine Maritime Academy0.790.1%1st Place
-
6.6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Lee | 16.9% | 21.0% | 20.7% | 17.4% | 12.3% | 7.8% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Bryan Trammell | 19.3% | 21.7% | 22.2% | 15.7% | 12.1% | 6.5% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Hall | 41.7% | 27.7% | 17.4% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Hardy | 5.0% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 17.4% | 19.6% | 18.2% | 11.3% |
| Carter Brock | 6.8% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 18.7% | 18.3% | 15.4% | 13.9% | 4.6% |
| Luke Healy | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 15.4% | 22.9% | 27.2% |
| Nalu Ho | 5.4% | 5.7% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 15.9% | 19.6% | 16.8% | 13.5% |
| Tucker Braun | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 14.5% | 22.6% | 42.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.