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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.08+2.02vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.19+4.66vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.91+0.32vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy0.79+1.18vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.80+0.18vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.18-1.51vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.81-4.77vs Predicted
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8Maine Maritime Academy0.27-2.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.02Tufts University2.080.2%1st Place
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6.66Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.190.0%1st Place
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3.32University of Rhode Island1.910.2%1st Place
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5.18Maine Maritime Academy0.790.1%1st Place
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5.18Boston University0.800.1%1st Place
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4.49Northeastern University1.180.1%1st Place
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2.23Bowdoin College2.810.4%1st Place
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5.93Maine Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Trammell | 20.6% | 22.5% | 23.0% | 14.3% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Tucker Braun | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 11.6% | 19.2% | 48.7% |
| Henry Lee | 17.1% | 18.8% | 19.9% | 19.5% | 14.0% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Nalu Ho | 5.1% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 15.8% | 18.8% | 21.3% | 9.8% |
| Nicholas Hardy | 5.0% | 6.0% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 16.9% | 17.9% | 19.8% | 10.8% |
| Carter Brock | 8.1% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 17.4% | 18.1% | 16.4% | 11.9% | 5.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 39.4% | 27.2% | 14.5% | 11.9% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Luke Healy | 2.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 13.5% | 19.4% | 23.3% | 23.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.