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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University0.80+4.15vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.91+1.36vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.08+0.10vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy0.79+1.21vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.81-2.89vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.18-1.51vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.19-0.34vs Predicted
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8Maine Maritime Academy0.27-2.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.15Boston University0.800.0%1st Place
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3.36University of Rhode Island1.910.2%1st Place
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3.1Tufts University2.080.2%1st Place
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5.21Maine Maritime Academy0.790.1%1st Place
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2.11Bowdoin College2.810.4%1st Place
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4.49Northeastern University1.180.1%1st Place
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6.66Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.190.0%1st Place
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5.9Maine Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Hardy | 4.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 16.7% | 19.8% | 18.0% | 11.0% |
| Henry Lee | 15.6% | 18.9% | 21.4% | 18.5% | 14.3% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Bryan Trammell | 19.6% | 21.8% | 20.9% | 17.7% | 10.6% | 6.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Nalu Ho | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 15.6% | 20.5% | 19.0% | 11.6% |
| Thomas Hall | 42.0% | 26.4% | 17.0% | 9.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Carter Brock | 7.5% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 16.9% | 18.5% | 14.7% | 12.3% | 5.6% |
| Tucker Braun | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 18.2% | 48.6% |
| Luke Healy | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 18.8% | 26.2% | 21.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.