Race 16A

penobscot-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Thomas Hall 43.1% 28.0% 14.7% 8.3% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Nicholas Hardy 5.0% 7.1% 9.9% 11.2% 16.6% 20.1% 19.0% 11.1%
Henry Lee 15.9% 18.7% 21.1% 19.2% 13.3% 7.4% 3.3% 1.1%
Carter Brock 7.5% 10.0% 13.2% 16.6% 16.1% 18.8% 13.1% 4.7%
Bryan Trammell 18.3% 23.5% 20.9% 16.9% 11.1% 6.6% 2.2% 0.5%
Nalu Ho 5.7% 5.4% 11.3% 14.1% 16.6% 18.6% 16.8% 11.5%
Tucker Braun 2.5% 2.4% 3.4% 5.2% 8.9% 9.3% 19.9% 48.4%
Luke Healy 2.0% 4.9% 5.5% 8.5% 13.2% 17.9% 25.4% 22.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.