Race 1A

philly-fleet-race

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Christopher Sharpless 14.6% 14.8% 15.6% 17.9% 16.5% 10.2% 5.3% 3.6% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Jordan Bruce 32.0% 26.4% 18.5% 11.1% 6.7% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Rayne Duff 13.0% 14.1% 16.7% 15.6% 14.5% 12.2% 9.5% 3.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Murphy 3.1% 4.7% 5.0% 8.6% 12.2% 15.4% 16.5% 16.4% 12.0% 4.6% 1.3% 0.2%
Connor Mraz 19.9% 20.5% 20.1% 16.3% 10.1% 6.9% 3.4% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Owen Ward 4.4% 6.6% 6.5% 7.9% 12.6% 16.2% 18.3% 13.7% 9.3% 3.7% 0.7% 0.1%
Colin MacGillivray 7.9% 7.9% 10.1% 11.7% 14.4% 15.3% 14.3% 10.7% 5.0% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Quinn Gabel 0.6% 0.5% 1.1% 0.9% 2.4% 3.4% 5.9% 8.4% 15.1% 21.7% 24.1% 15.9%
Alex Maurer 1.2% 0.9% 0.8% 1.6% 2.0% 3.6% 6.2% 11.7% 17.8% 26.0% 19.9% 8.3%
Joseph Bonacci 2.2% 2.7% 4.4% 6.0% 6.0% 9.4% 14.5% 20.4% 17.6% 11.7% 4.3% 0.8%
Tamryn Whyte 0.6% 0.3% 0.4% 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 1.3% 2.9% 5.4% 10.1% 18.7% 58.1%
Zachary Vance 0.5% 0.6% 0.8% 1.8% 1.7% 2.7% 3.7% 6.6% 15.0% 19.5% 30.6% 16.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.