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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.70+2.92vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.58+1.94vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.60+0.95vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College0.85+1.59vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.70+0.81vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College0.44+0.88vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida0.01+1.12vs Predicted
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8Embry-Riddle University-0.27+0.83vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida0.45-2.30vs Predicted
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10University of Florida-0.86+1.40vs Predicted
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11Palm Beach Atlantic University0.36-3.92vs Predicted
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12Florida Institute of Technology-1.26-0.88vs Predicted
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13Florida State University-2.05-0.42vs Predicted
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14University of Central Florida-0.20-4.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.92Jacksonville University1.7017.8%1st Place
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3.94Jacksonville University1.5816.1%1st Place
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3.95University of South Florida1.6018.2%1st Place
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5.59Eckerd College0.859.1%1st Place
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5.81Jacksonville University0.708.6%1st Place
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6.88Eckerd College0.445.5%1st Place
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8.12University of South Florida0.014.4%1st Place
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8.83Embry-Riddle University-0.272.9%1st Place
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6.7University of South Florida0.456.9%1st Place
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11.4University of Florida-0.860.9%1st Place
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7.08Palm Beach Atlantic University0.365.2%1st Place
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11.12Florida Institute of Technology-1.261.3%1st Place
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12.58Florida State University-2.050.4%1st Place
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9.07University of Central Florida-0.202.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Igoe | 17.8% | 17.2% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 16.1% | 17.5% | 15.4% | 15.4% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 18.2% | 15.3% | 15.4% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 9.1% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Fiona Froelich | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Carter Morin | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Blake March | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 5.3% | 0.7% |
| Mason Howell | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 8.6% | 3.1% |
| Sara Menesale | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Ava Moring | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 15.3% | 26.2% | 23.1% |
| Dawson Kohl | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| William Meade | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 18.8% | 23.9% | 18.1% |
| Patrick Parker | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 10.3% | 21.4% | 50.7% |
| Charlie Eckert | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 16.4% | 14.6% | 8.5% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.