Race 2A

philly-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Christopher Sharpless 14.0% 15.0% 16.7% 17.1% 15.7% 10.1% 7.6% 2.6% 1.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Jordan Bruce 32.3% 25.6% 17.7% 12.4% 6.9% 3.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Rayne Duff 13.4% 13.5% 16.0% 15.2% 15.2% 14.1% 7.8% 3.9% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Mraz 19.7% 22.5% 18.2% 14.5% 11.6% 8.1% 3.5% 1.3% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Colin MacGillivray 7.1% 6.6% 9.4% 12.7% 14.8% 15.9% 15.6% 9.3% 6.4% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Owen Ward 4.7% 5.2% 8.2% 8.5% 13.0% 15.4% 16.6% 15.9% 8.0% 3.3% 1.1% 0.1%
Connor Murphy 3.9% 5.5% 6.0% 8.5% 9.6% 14.3% 17.2% 17.8% 10.3% 5.0% 1.5% 0.4%
Joseph Bonacci 2.7% 3.0% 4.2% 5.4% 6.0% 9.1% 15.6% 19.1% 19.3% 10.3% 4.0% 1.3%
Quinn Gabel 0.7% 1.1% 0.7% 0.9% 1.0% 3.4% 4.8% 9.5% 15.1% 23.8% 25.4% 13.6%
Alex Maurer 0.6% 0.8% 1.6% 2.8% 3.1% 2.9% 5.8% 10.4% 17.5% 24.4% 20.3% 9.8%
Tamryn Whyte 0.5% 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.8% 3.6% 5.9% 9.7% 18.8% 57.9%
Zachary Vance 0.4% 0.9% 0.7% 1.4% 2.1% 2.7% 3.6% 6.4% 14.9% 21.5% 28.5% 16.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.