Race 3A

philly-fleet-race

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Rayne Duff 13.2% 12.5% 15.3% 18.2% 15.9% 11.4% 7.9% 3.7% 1.7% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Jordan Bruce 32.2% 26.2% 19.6% 9.1% 7.3% 3.9% 1.5% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Sharpless 14.3% 15.4% 18.0% 15.7% 14.6% 11.6% 7.4% 2.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Murphy 3.1% 4.6% 5.1% 8.6% 10.9% 16.4% 16.4% 15.9% 12.2% 5.0% 1.6% 0.2%
Connor Mraz 20.1% 21.6% 18.8% 14.9% 10.9% 6.8% 4.6% 1.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Colin MacGillivray 6.4% 7.7% 8.9% 12.8% 14.7% 16.2% 14.1% 12.5% 4.4% 1.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Owen Ward 5.4% 6.4% 6.4% 9.5% 13.0% 14.4% 17.0% 15.2% 8.0% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2%
Joseph Bonacci 2.9% 3.2% 4.2% 5.5% 5.4% 10.5% 14.6% 19.2% 18.4% 11.0% 3.8% 1.3%
Quinn Gabel 0.8% 0.7% 1.1% 0.4% 1.7% 2.4% 6.0% 9.2% 14.9% 24.0% 25.3% 13.5%
Alex Maurer 0.5% 0.9% 1.1% 3.2% 3.0% 3.1% 5.2% 10.2% 17.9% 25.0% 20.0% 9.9%
Tamryn Whyte 0.5% 0.3% 0.5% 0.6% 0.7% 0.9% 1.2% 3.2% 6.5% 8.5% 19.2% 57.9%
Zachary Vance 0.6% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 1.9% 2.4% 4.1% 6.5% 14.9% 20.9% 28.7% 17.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.