Race 4A

philly-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Christopher Sharpless 13.6% 14.9% 17.3% 16.8% 16.0% 10.5% 6.3% 3.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Mraz 19.8% 21.5% 17.7% 15.8% 12.2% 7.8% 4.1% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jordan Bruce 33.5% 25.3% 17.7% 10.8% 7.9% 3.2% 1.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Rayne Duff 12.1% 15.7% 15.8% 16.9% 14.1% 12.8% 6.8% 3.9% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Colin MacGillivray 6.3% 7.7% 9.7% 12.3% 14.7% 16.6% 14.5% 10.4% 5.5% 2.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Owen Ward 4.8% 4.8% 8.0% 9.2% 12.5% 15.0% 18.6% 14.4% 9.0% 3.1% 0.5% 0.1%
Connor Murphy 4.6% 5.1% 5.8% 9.0% 9.6% 13.3% 17.3% 17.2% 10.1% 5.9% 2.0% 0.1%
Alex Maurer 0.6% 0.6% 1.2% 2.3% 3.9% 3.7% 6.1% 10.0% 18.4% 22.4% 20.8% 10.0%
Quinn Gabel 0.7% 0.6% 1.1% 1.0% 1.1% 3.3% 4.5% 9.7% 14.7% 25.9% 23.3% 14.1%
Joseph Bonacci 2.9% 2.8% 4.0% 4.8% 6.1% 10.0% 14.3% 18.9% 20.7% 10.4% 4.3% 0.8%
Zachary Vance 0.8% 0.7% 1.2% 0.6% 1.5% 2.3% 4.2% 7.9% 13.6% 19.9% 28.1% 19.2%
Tamryn Whyte 0.3% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 1.5% 1.9% 2.7% 5.6% 9.7% 20.9% 55.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.