Race 6A

philly-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Jordan Bruce 32.8% 25.1% 18.8% 11.8% 6.6% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Rayne Duff 11.5% 16.7% 15.9% 16.2% 15.2% 11.0% 8.3% 4.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Sharpless 15.9% 14.4% 17.4% 16.7% 12.8% 13.1% 6.1% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Mraz 20.0% 21.4% 17.7% 16.3% 12.4% 7.1% 3.4% 1.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Owen Ward 4.3% 5.4% 7.4% 9.6% 13.3% 14.5% 15.4% 13.6% 11.5% 3.9% 1.1% 0.0%
Colin MacGillivray 7.0% 7.4% 10.3% 10.9% 13.3% 15.4% 17.0% 11.8% 4.8% 2.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Connor Murphy 4.5% 5.0% 5.8% 8.5% 11.0% 12.7% 17.5% 17.3% 10.7% 4.9% 1.8% 0.3%
Quinn Gabel 0.2% 0.8% 1.2% 1.5% 2.5% 3.9% 4.9% 7.9% 14.2% 22.0% 26.5% 14.4%
Joseph Bonacci 1.8% 2.4% 3.2% 4.3% 7.1% 11.8% 16.5% 20.3% 18.4% 9.9% 4.0% 0.3%
Zachary Vance 0.5% 0.3% 1.3% 1.6% 3.2% 2.6% 2.7% 7.8% 14.1% 22.8% 25.1% 18.0%
Alex Maurer 1.2% 0.8% 0.6% 2.0% 2.2% 3.2% 5.1% 9.5% 19.3% 22.8% 22.5% 10.8%
Tamryn Whyte 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 1.6% 1.8% 2.9% 5.3% 11.3% 18.9% 56.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.