Race 7A

philly-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Rayne Duff 11.3% 14.4% 14.9% 16.6% 18.0% 12.2% 7.3% 4.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Jordan Bruce 33.5% 23.6% 19.1% 12.1% 7.0% 2.6% 2.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Sharpless 13.1% 15.2% 16.3% 17.7% 15.5% 11.2% 6.7% 3.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Owen Ward 3.8% 5.6% 6.4% 8.3% 11.4% 15.3% 17.8% 16.9% 10.2% 3.8% 0.5%
Colin MacGillivray 6.7% 8.5% 9.0% 12.3% 14.0% 15.7% 15.6% 10.1% 6.0% 2.0% 0.1%
Connor Murphy 3.9% 5.0% 6.7% 6.6% 9.7% 15.2% 16.3% 16.3% 14.5% 5.6% 0.2%
Connor Mraz 22.5% 21.5% 18.5% 15.8% 10.3% 7.0% 2.5% 1.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Zachary Vance 0.6% 0.6% 1.3% 0.8% 1.6% 2.7% 4.0% 7.9% 14.2% 46.2% 20.1%
Quinn Harrington 1.9% 2.9% 3.3% 3.9% 5.3% 7.6% 11.6% 19.2% 26.6% 14.1% 3.6%
Joseph Bonacci 2.4% 2.4% 4.3% 5.6% 6.8% 10.2% 14.8% 17.3% 22.5% 12.7% 1.0%
Nikhil De 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 1.4% 3.1% 4.2% 15.0% 74.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.