Race 8A

philly-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Rayne Duff 11.3% 14.1% 14.9% 16.5% 17.5% 12.3% 8.2% 3.3% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Jordan Bruce 34.3% 23.9% 18.7% 11.8% 5.8% 4.0% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Sharpless 12.8% 15.5% 16.5% 17.1% 14.6% 12.4% 6.5% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Connor Murphy 3.1% 4.1% 6.1% 7.2% 9.2% 12.9% 18.6% 17.1% 14.7% 6.3% 0.7%
Connor Mraz 20.1% 21.9% 18.8% 14.2% 10.3% 7.5% 5.0% 1.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Colin MacGillivray 6.4% 8.6% 9.1% 11.2% 14.4% 15.9% 14.2% 10.9% 7.3% 1.9% 0.1%
Joseph Bonacci 3.4% 3.2% 3.2% 5.7% 7.2% 8.6% 14.1% 20.3% 21.4% 11.4% 1.5%
Owen Ward 5.7% 4.9% 7.8% 10.5% 12.5% 15.1% 14.9% 14.7% 10.7% 2.7% 0.5%
Zachary Vance 0.5% 1.2% 0.8% 1.1% 2.2% 2.3% 4.3% 7.1% 12.1% 48.5% 19.9%
Quinn Harrington 2.1% 2.5% 3.6% 4.7% 6.1% 8.5% 11.3% 19.0% 26.4% 13.4% 2.4%
Nikhil De 0.3% 0.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.2% 0.5% 1.5% 2.0% 4.5% 15.5% 74.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.