Race 9A

philly-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Christopher Sharpless 11.9% 16.3% 17.7% 17.9% 15.1% 10.3% 7.0% 3.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Connor Murphy 4.4% 3.8% 5.5% 8.0% 10.5% 14.4% 15.6% 18.1% 14.5% 5.0% 0.2%
Rayne Duff 12.3% 13.6% 14.1% 16.6% 15.6% 13.0% 8.8% 4.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Jordan Bruce 31.3% 24.5% 19.7% 11.4% 7.6% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Colin MacGillivray 7.2% 8.0% 9.1% 12.3% 13.4% 15.1% 14.7% 11.1% 7.1% 2.0% 0.0%
Owen Ward 4.2% 6.1% 7.5% 8.2% 12.0% 14.6% 17.9% 14.3% 11.3% 3.6% 0.3%
Connor Mraz 22.9% 20.6% 18.6% 14.9% 10.6% 7.7% 2.7% 1.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Joseph Bonacci 2.6% 3.3% 3.2% 4.9% 6.8% 10.4% 14.9% 17.6% 23.4% 11.6% 1.3%
Zachary Vance 0.9% 0.7% 1.0% 1.7% 1.7% 2.4% 3.2% 7.8% 11.6% 48.8% 20.2%
Quinn Harrington 2.0% 2.9% 3.3% 4.0% 6.5% 7.6% 12.9% 19.2% 25.6% 13.6% 2.4%
Nikhil De 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.7% 1.1% 2.6% 3.9% 15.0% 75.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.