Race 10A

philly-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Rayne Duff 11.6% 14.7% 14.4% 18.8% 14.9% 12.4% 7.7% 4.0% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Jordan Bruce 33.6% 24.1% 18.5% 13.0% 6.6% 2.6% 1.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Murphy 4.0% 4.0% 6.4% 6.1% 8.6% 13.9% 16.9% 19.4% 14.9% 5.4% 0.4%
Connor Mraz 18.6% 20.4% 18.9% 16.0% 11.8% 8.7% 3.4% 1.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Owen Ward 5.1% 5.4% 8.8% 7.6% 12.2% 14.2% 15.3% 15.5% 12.0% 3.6% 0.3%
Christopher Sharpless 14.2% 16.5% 16.9% 17.6% 12.8% 10.5% 7.2% 3.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Quinn Harrington 2.4% 3.8% 2.6% 4.2% 7.3% 8.5% 12.7% 18.2% 25.4% 12.1% 2.8%
Joseph Bonacci 2.8% 2.8% 3.1% 4.3% 9.1% 8.9% 15.0% 18.2% 21.3% 12.7% 1.8%
Colin MacGillivray 6.7% 7.6% 9.3% 10.7% 14.4% 16.2% 15.2% 10.8% 6.3% 2.3% 0.5%
Zachary Vance 0.6% 0.6% 0.9% 1.5% 1.9% 3.4% 3.7% 7.0% 12.5% 49.4% 18.5%
Nikhil De 0.4% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.4% 0.7% 1.6% 2.0% 4.8% 13.9% 75.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.