Race 11A

philly-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Colin MacGillivray 5.8% 7.0% 9.5% 10.5% 15.6% 17.8% 14.8% 12.0% 5.4% 1.5% 0.1%
Jordan Bruce 33.4% 24.1% 18.4% 11.7% 7.5% 3.2% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Sharpless 13.2% 14.3% 16.8% 18.8% 15.3% 11.0% 6.4% 3.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Owen Ward 3.9% 4.8% 7.3% 8.0% 12.0% 14.8% 17.9% 16.3% 11.4% 3.3% 0.3%
Rayne Duff 12.0% 15.9% 16.2% 16.9% 13.6% 10.9% 8.1% 4.3% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Connor Murphy 4.3% 4.2% 6.9% 6.7% 11.1% 14.1% 15.2% 16.1% 15.3% 5.8% 0.3%
Connor Mraz 21.5% 23.1% 17.6% 16.8% 10.1% 6.3% 2.8% 1.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Joseph Bonacci 3.0% 2.8% 3.2% 4.9% 7.5% 10.7% 16.0% 17.5% 21.3% 11.8% 1.3%
Quinn Harrington 2.0% 3.0% 2.9% 4.2% 5.3% 7.5% 11.3% 18.9% 26.2% 14.7% 4.0%
Zachary Vance 0.7% 0.6% 0.8% 1.2% 1.6% 3.2% 4.9% 6.7% 14.1% 47.8% 18.4%
Nikhil De 0.2% 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 1.1% 3.3% 3.4% 14.6% 75.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.