← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Jacksonville University1.45+2.10vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University0.84+2.53vs Predicted
-
3University of South Florida-0.31+4.98vs Predicted
-
4Eckerd College1.17-0.07vs Predicted
-
5Jacksonville University-0.31+2.40vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida1.07-1.89vs Predicted
-
7Florida Institute of Technology-0.88+1.87vs Predicted
-
8Eckerd College-0.17-0.78vs Predicted
-
9University of South Florida0.83-4.32vs Predicted
-
10Embry-Riddle University-1.83-0.38vs Predicted
-
11Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.11-1.44vs Predicted
-
12Florida State University-1.06-2.68vs Predicted
-
13University of Central Florida-2.68-0.37vs Predicted
-
14Unknown School-2.40-1.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.1Jacksonville University1.4526.2%1st Place
-
4.53Jacksonville University0.8412.4%1st Place
-
7.98University of South Florida-0.313.6%1st Place
-
3.93Eckerd College1.1716.6%1st Place
-
7.4Jacksonville University-0.314.7%1st Place
-
4.11University of South Florida1.0713.7%1st Place
-
8.87Florida Institute of Technology-0.881.9%1st Place
-
7.22Eckerd College-0.174.2%1st Place
-
4.68University of South Florida0.8311.7%1st Place
-
9.62Embry-Riddle University-1.831.2%1st Place
-
9.56Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.111.5%1st Place
-
9.32Florida State University-1.061.6%1st Place
-
12.63University of Central Florida-2.680.4%1st Place
-
12.06Unknown School-2.400.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hank Seum | 26.2% | 20.7% | 16.4% | 14.4% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 12.4% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 0.5% |
| Jordan Vieira | 16.6% | 14.0% | 17.2% | 15.3% | 13.2% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ella Lansford | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Kailey Warrior | 13.7% | 15.2% | 16.2% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Mullray | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 13.4% | 6.6% | 1.7% |
| Lily Schwartz | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Grace Jones | 11.7% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Dolan | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 16.4% | 12.7% | 4.0% |
| Nathan Hjort | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 15.7% | 11.8% | 4.4% |
| Kaan Akdogan | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 15.2% | 9.7% | 3.7% |
| Nicolas Benavides | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 23.5% | 50.1% |
| Austin Rupert | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 27.7% | 35.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.