Race 12A

philly-fleet-race

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jordan Bruce 31.0% 25.9% 18.9% 12.6% 7.8% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Mraz 21.2% 20.6% 19.1% 14.3% 11.2% 7.7% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Rayne Duff 11.9% 12.5% 15.9% 16.0% 15.6% 12.3% 9.7% 4.0% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Colin MacGillivray 6.3% 6.0% 8.6% 11.8% 15.4% 16.9% 14.7% 11.2% 7.5% 1.5% 0.1%
Owen Ward 4.9% 6.0% 7.7% 9.4% 11.6% 13.6% 16.2% 15.1% 12.0% 3.5% 0.0%
Christopher Sharpless 14.6% 16.2% 17.2% 16.6% 14.0% 9.3% 6.9% 3.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Connor Murphy 4.5% 5.7% 5.2% 9.1% 9.7% 16.4% 15.4% 16.6% 11.7% 5.6% 0.1%
Joseph Bonacci 2.7% 2.7% 3.6% 5.3% 7.2% 10.6% 14.9% 17.6% 21.5% 12.4% 1.5%
Quinn Harrington 2.0% 3.4% 2.5% 3.7% 5.3% 7.4% 11.6% 20.4% 24.3% 15.3% 4.1%
Zachary Vance 0.5% 0.8% 1.1% 1.2% 1.7% 2.7% 3.9% 7.5% 14.9% 47.2% 18.5%
Nikhil De 0.4% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.5% 0.5% 1.8% 2.2% 4.6% 14.0% 75.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.