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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.35+1.48vs Predicted
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2Villanova University-1.80+6.98vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.09-0.08vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.26+0.21vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy1.17-0.80vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.35+0.86vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute1.69-3.73vs Predicted
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8Villanova University-1.27+0.13vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-1.42-0.53vs Predicted
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10Princeton University-0.09-3.77vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland/Baltimore County-3.00-0.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.48University of Pennsylvania2.350.3%1st Place
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8.98Villanova University-1.800.0%1st Place
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2.92University of Pennsylvania2.090.2%1st Place
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4.21U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.260.1%1st Place
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4.2U. S. Naval Academy1.170.1%1st Place
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6.86Princeton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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3.27Webb Institute1.690.2%1st Place
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8.13Villanova University-1.270.0%1st Place
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8.47University of Delaware-1.420.0%1st Place
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6.23Princeton University-0.090.0%1st Place
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10.26University of Maryland/Baltimore County-3.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javier Garcon | 31.2% | 26.9% | 19.2% | 12.1% | 7.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Priebke | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 7.7% | 13.4% | 20.9% | 32.9% | 16.2% |
| Samuel Gavula | 22.4% | 22.1% | 23.0% | 15.7% | 10.0% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dax Thompson | 10.1% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 19.4% | 19.1% | 16.3% | 8.4% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Ziman | 10.7% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 16.6% | 21.9% | 15.0% | 7.5% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Lawrence | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 15.6% | 23.7% | 19.9% | 13.5% | 5.0% | 1.7% |
| Payne Donaldson | 18.7% | 19.8% | 17.6% | 19.0% | 13.8% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sawyer Barnard | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 7.4% | 12.9% | 22.6% | 23.6% | 18.7% | 5.8% |
| Alexandra Starr | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 11.0% | 17.4% | 23.4% | 25.5% | 9.7% |
| Carly Mraz | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 11.6% | 22.1% | 20.3% | 15.8% | 9.3% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| William Jones | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 8.7% | 15.1% | 66.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.