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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.35+1.48vs Predicted
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2Princeton University-0.35+4.77vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.09-0.10vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.26+0.17vs Predicted
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5Villanova University-1.80+3.95vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute1.69-2.59vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy1.17-2.89vs Predicted
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8Villanova University-1.27+0.18vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-0.09-2.59vs Predicted
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10University of Delaware-1.42-1.61vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland/Baltimore County-3.00-0.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.48University of Pennsylvania2.350.3%1st Place
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6.77Princeton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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2.9University of Pennsylvania2.090.2%1st Place
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4.17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.260.1%1st Place
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8.95Villanova University-1.800.0%1st Place
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3.41Webb Institute1.690.2%1st Place
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4.11U. S. Naval Academy1.170.1%1st Place
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8.18Villanova University-1.270.0%1st Place
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6.41Princeton University-0.090.0%1st Place
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8.39University of Delaware-1.420.0%1st Place
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10.24University of Maryland/Baltimore County-3.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javier Garcon | 31.5% | 25.3% | 20.2% | 13.2% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Lawrence | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 17.1% | 23.1% | 18.1% | 14.2% | 5.0% | 0.8% |
| Samuel Gavula | 22.7% | 22.5% | 22.0% | 16.1% | 10.6% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dax Thompson | 10.0% | 10.9% | 14.6% | 18.7% | 21.4% | 14.9% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Priebke | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 14.5% | 19.8% | 30.7% | 18.1% |
| Payne Donaldson | 16.9% | 18.9% | 18.4% | 18.2% | 13.9% | 8.3% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Ziman | 11.2% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 17.6% | 19.3% | 13.9% | 8.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sawyer Barnard | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 7.2% | 12.4% | 21.2% | 22.7% | 21.4% | 6.0% |
| Carly Mraz | 2.9% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 18.7% | 23.8% | 16.5% | 9.3% | 4.1% | 0.7% |
| Alexandra Starr | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 18.3% | 24.8% | 22.1% | 9.2% |
| William Jones | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 16.7% | 65.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.