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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.35+1.47vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.09+0.79vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute1.69+0.51vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-0.35+2.87vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy1.17-0.78vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.26-1.89vs Predicted
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7Villanova University-1.80+1.87vs Predicted
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8Villanova University-1.27+0.12vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-1.42-0.54vs Predicted
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10Princeton University-0.09-3.71vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland/Baltimore County-3.00-0.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.47University of Pennsylvania2.350.3%1st Place
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2.79University of Pennsylvania2.090.3%1st Place
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3.51Webb Institute1.690.1%1st Place
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6.87Princeton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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4.22U. S. Naval Academy1.170.1%1st Place
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4.11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.260.1%1st Place
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8.87Villanova University-1.800.0%1st Place
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8.12Villanova University-1.270.0%1st Place
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8.46University of Delaware-1.420.0%1st Place
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6.29Princeton University-0.090.0%1st Place
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10.28University of Maryland/Baltimore County-3.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javier Garcon | 31.6% | 24.2% | 21.8% | 14.2% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Gavula | 26.5% | 24.2% | 18.4% | 14.2% | 10.5% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Payne Donaldson | 14.9% | 16.7% | 19.4% | 18.7% | 16.7% | 9.5% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Lawrence | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 7.9% | 15.7% | 23.3% | 20.6% | 13.8% | 5.9% | 0.7% |
| Robert Ziman | 9.4% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 18.7% | 19.5% | 14.4% | 8.0% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dax Thompson | 10.1% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 17.2% | 20.0% | 13.8% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Priebke | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 7.6% | 14.6% | 20.2% | 31.7% | 15.8% |
| Sawyer Barnard | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 8.8% | 13.3% | 20.7% | 22.4% | 19.9% | 6.3% |
| Alexandra Starr | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 5.3% | 10.4% | 16.6% | 25.6% | 24.1% | 9.8% |
| Carly Mraz | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 10.7% | 21.8% | 22.1% | 15.7% | 9.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| William Jones | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 16.1% | 67.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.