Race 4B

philly-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Samuel Gavula 24.7% 25.6% 19.5% 16.8% 7.9% 3.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Javier Garcon 35.7% 25.7% 18.8% 11.1% 6.2% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Ziman 9.6% 11.7% 15.5% 14.3% 17.1% 16.5% 9.9% 3.9% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Dax Thompson 10.0% 12.7% 16.3% 16.8% 18.2% 12.5% 8.3% 3.5% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Bryan Lawrence 2.9% 2.7% 4.4% 5.5% 7.3% 12.4% 14.7% 19.6% 19.2% 9.7% 1.6%
Evan Spalding 7.9% 10.3% 12.9% 16.0% 16.9% 13.3% 13.2% 5.7% 2.9% 0.8% 0.1%
Jack Murray 3.6% 4.7% 4.8% 7.7% 9.9% 14.4% 18.5% 18.2% 12.1% 5.3% 0.8%
Carly Mraz 3.6% 3.6% 4.7% 7.4% 9.7% 15.1% 19.0% 16.2% 13.5% 6.3% 0.9%
Sawyer Barnard 0.9% 1.6% 1.0% 2.9% 3.2% 4.3% 6.7% 16.1% 21.5% 30.9% 10.9%
Alexandra Starr 0.7% 1.2% 1.9% 1.3% 3.5% 4.8% 6.3% 13.3% 22.0% 33.2% 11.8%
William Jones 0.4% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 1.1% 1.5% 3.1% 5.7% 13.6% 73.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.