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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.35+1.31vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.09+0.72vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy1.17+1.01vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-0.35+2.23vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.26-1.26vs Predicted
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6Villanova University-0.08-0.09vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute0.94-2.66vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-1.42-0.36vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-1.85-0.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.31University of Pennsylvania2.350.4%1st Place
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2.72University of Pennsylvania2.090.3%1st Place
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4.01U. S. Naval Academy1.170.1%1st Place
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6.23Princeton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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3.74U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.260.1%1st Place
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5.91Villanova University-0.080.0%1st Place
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4.34Webb Institute0.940.1%1st Place
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7.64University of Delaware-1.420.0%1st Place
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8.1Princeton University-1.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javier Garcon | 35.7% | 26.3% | 20.3% | 9.8% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Gavula | 26.0% | 24.1% | 21.2% | 15.9% | 8.1% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Ziman | 9.4% | 14.3% | 15.3% | 20.2% | 18.0% | 14.8% | 6.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Lawrence | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 10.8% | 19.8% | 27.9% | 18.2% | 6.7% |
| Dax Thompson | 12.7% | 16.8% | 17.3% | 17.2% | 18.1% | 10.3% | 5.9% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Jack Murray | 3.2% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 23.7% | 24.9% | 15.5% | 3.7% |
| Evan Spalding | 9.3% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 18.8% | 21.8% | 16.0% | 9.6% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Alexandra Starr | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 14.4% | 36.6% | 33.2% |
| Lucy Norton | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 9.1% | 24.0% | 56.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.