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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.17+3.15vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.69+1.50vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.35-0.54vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.09-1.30vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.26-1.05vs Predicted
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6Villanova University-0.08+0.01vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.35-0.59vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-1.42-0.31vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-1.85-0.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.15U. S. Naval Academy1.170.1%1st Place
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3.5Webb Institute1.690.1%1st Place
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2.46University of Pennsylvania2.350.3%1st Place
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2.7University of Pennsylvania2.090.3%1st Place
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3.95U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.260.1%1st Place
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6.01Villanova University-0.080.0%1st Place
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6.41Princeton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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7.69University of Delaware-1.420.0%1st Place
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8.13Princeton University-1.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Ziman | 10.5% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 17.4% | 21.4% | 16.5% | 6.9% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Payne Donaldson | 12.9% | 18.1% | 19.8% | 20.7% | 17.1% | 7.6% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Javier Garcon | 31.7% | 26.4% | 18.4% | 14.4% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Gavula | 27.5% | 22.0% | 21.9% | 15.7% | 8.6% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dax Thompson | 11.2% | 14.4% | 15.1% | 17.8% | 19.9% | 13.6% | 6.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Jack Murray | 2.6% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 12.7% | 24.0% | 27.0% | 15.5% | 3.2% |
| Bryan Lawrence | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 8.5% | 20.8% | 31.6% | 19.9% | 6.5% |
| Alexandra Starr | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 7.2% | 14.6% | 36.5% | 33.5% |
| Lucy Norton | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 9.2% | 24.0% | 56.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.