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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.35+1.46vs Predicted
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2Villanova University-0.08+4.19vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.09-0.19vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.26-0.08vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.35+1.33vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute1.69-2.68vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy1.17-2.82vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-1.42-0.33vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-1.85-0.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.46University of Pennsylvania2.350.3%1st Place
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6.19Villanova University-0.080.0%1st Place
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2.81University of Pennsylvania2.090.3%1st Place
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3.92U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.260.1%1st Place
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6.33Princeton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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3.32Webb Institute1.690.2%1st Place
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4.18U. S. Naval Academy1.170.1%1st Place
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7.67University of Delaware-1.420.0%1st Place
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8.11Princeton University-1.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javier Garcon | 32.1% | 26.2% | 19.2% | 12.0% | 7.2% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Murray | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 11.3% | 23.8% | 30.6% | 14.5% | 5.1% |
| Samuel Gavula | 25.1% | 23.9% | 19.0% | 15.7% | 11.1% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dax Thompson | 11.2% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 19.8% | 19.4% | 14.1% | 5.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Bryan Lawrence | 2.3% | 2.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 18.3% | 30.2% | 18.1% | 8.1% |
| Payne Donaldson | 16.3% | 17.5% | 22.4% | 19.1% | 13.9% | 8.5% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Robert Ziman | 9.4% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 17.7% | 21.6% | 16.2% | 7.4% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Alexandra Starr | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 14.0% | 39.2% | 31.2% |
| Lucy Norton | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 25.1% | 55.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.