Race 9B

philly-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Dax Thompson 10.5% 13.2% 14.2% 18.4% 21.3% 15.1% 5.9% 1.4% 0.0%
Payne Donaldson 12.1% 18.7% 21.3% 20.0% 15.4% 8.8% 3.1% 0.6% 0.0%
Samuel Gavula 24.6% 24.1% 20.1% 15.6% 11.5% 3.0% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Jack Murray 2.5% 4.0% 6.4% 7.8% 10.6% 24.6% 27.2% 12.9% 4.0%
Javier Garcon 36.4% 24.5% 17.6% 11.5% 7.0% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Bryan Lawrence 1.8% 2.9% 3.9% 5.0% 9.4% 20.1% 29.4% 21.5% 6.0%
Alexandra Starr 0.7% 1.0% 1.2% 2.3% 2.7% 5.2% 16.1% 37.5% 33.3%
Robert Ziman 11.0% 10.7% 14.3% 18.1% 20.4% 16.2% 7.5% 1.4% 0.4%
Lucy Norton 0.4% 0.9% 1.0% 1.3% 1.7% 4.6% 9.2% 24.6% 56.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.