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📊 Prediction Accuracy
78.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College1.17+2.84vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.45+1.22vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.07+1.09vs Predicted
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4Florida Institute of Technology-0.88+4.68vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida0.83-0.29vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.84-1.45vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College-0.17+0.25vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida-0.31+0.04vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University-0.31-1.62vs Predicted
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10Florida State University-1.06-0.55vs Predicted
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11Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.11-1.55vs Predicted
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12Embry-Riddle University-1.83-2.31vs Predicted
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13Unknown School-2.40-0.95vs Predicted
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14University of Central Florida-2.68-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.84Eckerd College1.1718.1%1st Place
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3.22Jacksonville University1.4523.2%1st Place
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4.09University of South Florida1.0716.0%1st Place
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8.68Florida Institute of Technology-0.882.5%1st Place
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4.71University of South Florida0.8311.3%1st Place
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4.55Jacksonville University0.8411.7%1st Place
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7.25Eckerd College-0.174.0%1st Place
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8.04University of South Florida-0.313.1%1st Place
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7.38Jacksonville University-0.314.0%1st Place
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9.45Florida State University-1.061.6%1st Place
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9.45Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.111.8%1st Place
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9.69Embry-Riddle University-1.831.4%1st Place
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12.05Unknown School-2.400.9%1st Place
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12.61University of Central Florida-2.680.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jordan Vieira | 18.1% | 16.8% | 15.8% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Hank Seum | 23.2% | 21.1% | 17.3% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Kailey Warrior | 16.0% | 15.2% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
William Mullray | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 7.0% | 1.6% |
Grace Jones | 11.3% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Stefanos Pappas | 11.7% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Lily Schwartz | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
Garrett Floerchinger | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 0.5% |
Ella Lansford | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
Kaan Akdogan | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 15.6% | 15.9% | 10.2% | 3.8% |
Nathan Hjort | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 15.4% | 15.8% | 10.7% | 3.5% |
Timothy Dolan | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 16.6% | 13.5% | 4.2% |
Austin Rupert | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 11.4% | 28.5% | 34.9% |
Nicolas Benavides | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 21.9% | 50.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.