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📊 Prediction Accuracy

78.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Jordan Vieira 18.1% 16.8% 15.8% 13.3% 11.9% 9.6% 7.3% 4.2% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Hank Seum 23.2% 21.1% 17.3% 13.6% 11.0% 6.7% 3.6% 1.8% 1.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kailey Warrior 16.0% 15.2% 14.2% 14.2% 13.7% 10.1% 6.9% 5.1% 2.9% 1.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
William Mullray 2.5% 2.5% 3.5% 3.5% 5.5% 5.7% 8.2% 10.1% 12.4% 12.8% 12.9% 11.8% 7.0% 1.6%
Grace Jones 11.3% 12.3% 13.2% 12.5% 12.3% 12.7% 10.0% 7.5% 4.5% 2.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Stefanos Pappas 11.7% 12.8% 13.5% 14.1% 13.4% 13.2% 8.2% 6.2% 4.2% 1.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Lily Schwartz 4.0% 5.2% 5.8% 6.8% 6.9% 8.9% 12.3% 12.3% 10.9% 11.2% 7.9% 5.5% 2.2% 0.2%
Garrett Floerchinger 3.1% 3.0% 3.5% 5.1% 5.8% 8.2% 10.8% 11.5% 13.3% 11.7% 11.6% 7.8% 4.2% 0.5%
Ella Lansford 4.0% 4.4% 5.1% 7.0% 7.3% 9.8% 10.2% 11.7% 11.8% 12.3% 8.5% 5.9% 1.8% 0.4%
Kaan Akdogan 1.6% 2.1% 2.1% 3.4% 3.4% 5.0% 6.0% 8.6% 10.2% 12.1% 15.6% 15.9% 10.2% 3.8%
Nathan Hjort 1.8% 1.9% 2.5% 2.8% 3.5% 4.2% 6.7% 8.6% 10.0% 12.4% 15.4% 15.8% 10.7% 3.5%
Timothy Dolan 1.4% 1.9% 1.9% 2.5% 3.5% 3.6% 6.6% 8.1% 10.3% 12.5% 13.4% 16.6% 13.5% 4.2%
Austin Rupert 0.9% 0.4% 1.1% 1.0% 0.9% 1.5% 1.8% 2.7% 3.5% 5.5% 5.9% 11.4% 28.5% 34.9%
Nicolas Benavides 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.9% 1.1% 1.5% 1.6% 2.6% 3.5% 5.8% 8.4% 21.9% 50.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.