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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.35+1.48vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.09+0.89vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute1.69+0.38vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy1.17+0.07vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.26-1.09vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.35+0.40vs Predicted
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7Villanova University-0.08-0.95vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-1.42-0.30vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-1.85-0.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.48University of Pennsylvania2.350.3%1st Place
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2.89University of Pennsylvania2.090.2%1st Place
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3.38Webb Institute1.690.2%1st Place
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4.07U. S. Naval Academy1.170.1%1st Place
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3.91U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.260.1%1st Place
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6.4Princeton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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6.05Villanova University-0.080.0%1st Place
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7.7University of Delaware-1.420.0%1st Place
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8.12Princeton University-1.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javier Garcon | 31.7% | 25.9% | 19.2% | 12.9% | 7.4% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Gavula | 23.5% | 22.3% | 20.9% | 15.9% | 11.2% | 4.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Payne Donaldson | 17.1% | 17.3% | 18.6% | 19.0% | 16.1% | 9.4% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Ziman | 10.4% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 20.5% | 20.7% | 15.0% | 6.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Dax Thompson | 11.3% | 14.6% | 17.4% | 16.7% | 19.3% | 12.4% | 6.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Bryan Lawrence | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 19.6% | 31.1% | 20.8% | 6.0% |
| Jack Murray | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 26.0% | 27.7% | 15.1% | 3.6% |
| Alexandra Starr | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 15.1% | 36.6% | 33.8% |
| Lucy Norton | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 4.7% | 10.0% | 23.7% | 56.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.