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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.35+1.43vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.09+0.87vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy1.17+1.18vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.26-0.06vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.35+1.33vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-1.42+1.71vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute1.69-3.62vs Predicted
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8Villanova University-0.08-1.95vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-1.85-0.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.43University of Pennsylvania2.350.3%1st Place
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2.87University of Pennsylvania2.090.2%1st Place
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4.18U. S. Naval Academy1.170.1%1st Place
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3.94U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.260.1%1st Place
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6.33Princeton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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7.71University of Delaware-1.420.0%1st Place
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3.38Webb Institute1.690.2%1st Place
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6.05Villanova University-0.080.0%1st Place
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8.1Princeton University-1.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javier Garcon | 33.6% | 24.5% | 19.4% | 13.1% | 6.6% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Gavula | 23.7% | 22.7% | 21.6% | 15.4% | 9.7% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Ziman | 8.8% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 17.1% | 22.2% | 17.4% | 7.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Dax Thompson | 11.0% | 13.6% | 15.8% | 18.4% | 21.0% | 12.9% | 5.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Bryan Lawrence | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 20.2% | 27.2% | 19.8% | 7.8% |
| Alexandra Starr | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 7.2% | 15.2% | 36.6% | 33.4% |
| Payne Donaldson | 16.6% | 17.9% | 19.5% | 19.0% | 15.2% | 8.5% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jack Murray | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 11.5% | 21.5% | 29.3% | 15.6% | 4.1% |
| Lucy Norton | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 4.7% | 11.1% | 24.5% | 54.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.