Race 2A

riley-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Parker Purrington 5.5% 6.4% 6.6% 9.1% 9.3% 9.9% 9.8% 11.6% 10.5% 8.9% 7.2% 4.3% 0.9% 0.0%
Mariner Fagan 20.9% 20.6% 18.3% 13.8% 9.3% 6.3% 5.7% 2.6% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Benton Amthor 18.6% 17.9% 14.9% 13.4% 11.4% 9.5% 7.1% 3.5% 2.0% 1.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Owen Hennessey 17.8% 15.9% 16.1% 13.2% 10.6% 9.7% 7.8% 4.5% 2.6% 0.8% 0.8% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
John Patrick Panarella 4.8% 5.2% 5.5% 7.6% 6.8% 9.9% 7.9% 10.3% 11.4% 11.3% 8.7% 6.9% 3.7% 0.0%
Brian Fox 5.3% 4.2% 5.2% 6.4% 8.2% 7.8% 11.4% 9.9% 12.2% 10.2% 8.8% 7.5% 2.9% 0.0%
Lily Flack 2.8% 2.7% 2.4% 4.0% 5.0% 5.1% 5.3% 6.5% 9.7% 10.4% 16.6% 15.4% 14.1% 0.0%
Oscar MacGillivray 4.4% 5.7% 4.6% 6.1% 7.6% 8.8% 9.5% 10.6% 13.3% 9.5% 10.0% 7.5% 2.4% 0.0%
Christopher Magno 1.2% 3.0% 2.1% 1.7% 3.7% 2.4% 4.6% 6.2% 6.7% 11.0% 12.6% 20.2% 24.6% 0.0%
Christopher Magno 1.2% 3.0% 2.1% 1.7% 3.7% 2.4% 4.6% 6.2% 6.7% 11.0% 12.6% 20.2% 24.6% 0.0%
Stewart Gurnell 8.6% 7.4% 8.0% 9.3% 11.4% 11.1% 9.7% 10.7% 6.3% 8.1% 5.3% 3.5% 0.6% 0.0%
John Vail 2.2% 2.4% 3.8% 4.6% 4.7% 7.0% 6.7% 8.9% 10.2% 14.1% 14.9% 11.0% 9.5% 0.0%
Tanner Kelly 7.2% 7.7% 10.7% 9.7% 10.0% 10.4% 11.4% 11.2% 8.2% 6.9% 3.9% 2.1% 0.6% 0.0%
Constantyn van der Voort 0.7% 0.9% 1.8% 1.1% 2.0% 2.1% 3.1% 3.5% 5.8% 7.0% 10.7% 21.0% 40.3% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.