Race 4A

riley-cup

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Benton Amthor 18.9% 17.1% 14.9% 15.2% 11.5% 8.9% 5.3% 3.7% 2.5% 0.9% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Mariner Fagan 21.9% 20.5% 17.1% 13.5% 9.6% 6.8% 5.5% 2.9% 1.0% 0.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Oscar MacGillivray 4.0% 4.3% 4.9% 6.1% 8.2% 8.6% 10.1% 11.9% 10.1% 11.6% 9.5% 8.4% 2.3% 0.0%
Owen Hennessey 17.2% 16.9% 15.2% 14.2% 10.2% 10.6% 6.8% 4.3% 2.5% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Parker Purrington 6.9% 6.4% 7.5% 9.9% 8.6% 8.1% 11.0% 11.5% 9.7% 10.1% 5.8% 3.6% 0.9% 0.0%
Stewart Gurnell 7.9% 7.8% 8.5% 8.6% 11.3% 10.0% 12.1% 9.3% 9.8% 6.1% 4.9% 3.0% 0.7% 0.0%
Christopher Magno 2.2% 2.0% 1.9% 2.5% 4.3% 3.3% 4.8% 5.7% 6.6% 8.8% 12.0% 21.0% 24.9% 0.0%
John Patrick Panarella 5.1% 5.8% 5.0% 5.1% 7.5% 8.5% 10.8% 11.2% 12.0% 11.4% 8.3% 6.4% 2.9% 0.0%
Tanner Kelly 7.9% 8.0% 10.8% 9.3% 10.0% 11.4% 11.6% 9.5% 9.4% 5.3% 4.6% 1.3% 0.9% 0.0%
Constantyn van der Voort 1.0% 1.0% 1.8% 2.0% 2.1% 3.4% 1.9% 4.1% 5.6% 7.1% 12.5% 16.8% 40.7% 0.0%
Lily Flack 2.0% 1.8% 2.7% 4.1% 4.2% 6.2% 5.0% 7.9% 9.7% 13.6% 14.0% 16.1% 12.7% 0.0%
John Vail 2.0% 3.3% 3.1% 3.8% 4.2% 6.4% 6.4% 8.6% 7.6% 13.2% 14.9% 16.1% 10.4% 0.0%
Christopher Magno 2.2% 2.0% 1.9% 2.5% 4.3% 3.3% 4.8% 5.7% 6.6% 8.8% 12.0% 21.0% 24.9% 0.0%
Brian Fox 3.0% 5.1% 6.6% 5.7% 8.3% 7.8% 8.7% 9.4% 13.5% 10.0% 11.4% 7.0% 3.5% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.