Race 7A

riley-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Parker Purrington 5.5% 6.7% 6.0% 10.2% 9.1% 10.1% 11.1% 10.4% 10.2% 10.5% 6.5% 3.1% 0.6% 0.0%
Benton Amthor 17.8% 18.4% 16.4% 14.1% 11.4% 9.2% 5.3% 3.9% 1.6% 1.2% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mariner Fagan 22.3% 20.2% 15.6% 12.3% 12.1% 7.3% 5.3% 2.5% 1.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Owen Hennessey 17.9% 15.9% 16.6% 14.6% 9.2% 9.1% 8.5% 4.1% 2.1% 1.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Stewart Gurnell 7.5% 8.3% 9.9% 10.4% 9.3% 9.0% 11.2% 10.8% 9.1% 7.3% 5.2% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Oscar MacGillivray 5.0% 4.4% 5.5% 5.4% 9.1% 9.3% 8.7% 12.6% 11.6% 11.5% 8.6% 6.9% 1.4% 0.0%
Lily Flack 2.9% 2.5% 2.9% 3.4% 4.7% 5.8% 5.5% 7.6% 9.2% 12.9% 16.9% 19.1% 6.6% 0.0%
Brian Fox 4.0% 6.2% 5.7% 5.4% 7.4% 9.4% 10.3% 10.8% 13.4% 12.0% 8.1% 6.6% 0.7% 0.0%
John Patrick Panarella 4.4% 4.6% 6.9% 5.8% 7.1% 8.7% 10.0% 11.2% 11.7% 10.3% 10.5% 7.0% 1.8% 0.0%
Tanner Kelly 8.8% 8.7% 9.1% 11.1% 11.8% 10.6% 10.0% 10.0% 7.5% 6.1% 4.3% 1.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Christopher Magno 1.4% 1.4% 1.6% 3.4% 3.2% 4.7% 4.5% 7.0% 8.8% 10.8% 16.1% 24.3% 12.8% 0.0%
John Vail 2.1% 2.2% 3.6% 3.4% 4.6% 6.2% 8.0% 7.8% 10.7% 12.1% 16.7% 17.0% 5.6% 0.0%
Christopher Magno 1.4% 1.4% 1.6% 3.4% 3.2% 4.7% 4.5% 7.0% 8.8% 10.8% 16.1% 24.3% 12.8% 0.0%
Parker Bunting 0.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.5% 1.0% 0.6% 1.6% 1.3% 2.3% 3.3% 6.2% 12.6% 69.5% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.