Race 1B

riley-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Taylor Walshe 7.4% 7.2% 9.0% 9.8% 8.9% 9.9% 11.5% 10.0% 9.5% 8.4% 6.0% 1.7% 0.7% 0.0%
Max Kleha 3.5% 4.5% 4.1% 7.2% 6.0% 6.6% 9.0% 10.6% 11.6% 14.1% 9.2% 10.3% 3.3% 0.0%
Piper Holthus 17.0% 17.1% 13.2% 13.1% 13.0% 9.0% 6.7% 5.7% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Ryan Janov 15.1% 15.4% 13.9% 11.1% 11.8% 11.0% 7.7% 6.0% 4.1% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Cooper Walshe 16.1% 13.4% 14.1% 11.4% 10.3% 12.5% 7.7% 5.9% 4.6% 2.2% 1.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Noyl Odom 12.2% 12.1% 12.3% 13.0% 12.1% 10.3% 8.9% 6.9% 5.2% 4.3% 1.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Reid Shanabrook 2.4% 2.9% 3.1% 2.9% 4.5% 4.0% 6.7% 6.1% 8.9% 11.7% 15.1% 17.8% 13.9% 0.0%
Nick Chisari 12.8% 12.1% 12.3% 11.4% 11.8% 10.9% 10.5% 8.9% 4.6% 2.1% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Daniel Hodges 5.0% 4.4% 5.0% 5.1% 5.7% 6.5% 9.4% 11.2% 11.5% 13.0% 10.3% 8.1% 4.8% 0.0%
Max Shapiro 1.2% 2.7% 1.7% 2.3% 3.3% 2.7% 3.4% 6.2% 6.9% 10.2% 12.9% 19.4% 27.1% 0.0%
Gannon Troutman 3.7% 4.7% 6.7% 6.3% 7.1% 8.6% 10.1% 9.5% 13.0% 10.6% 10.0% 6.5% 3.2% 0.0%
Benjamin Chitterling 2.1% 2.8% 3.3% 4.3% 4.0% 5.4% 5.4% 8.2% 10.9% 10.9% 15.9% 16.6% 10.2% 0.0%
Reid Shanabrook 2.4% 2.9% 3.1% 2.9% 4.5% 4.0% 6.7% 6.1% 8.9% 11.7% 15.1% 17.8% 13.9% 0.0%
Sam Dutilly 1.5% 0.7% 1.3% 2.1% 1.5% 2.6% 3.0% 4.8% 6.0% 8.7% 14.3% 17.4% 36.1% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.