Race 2B

riley-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

21.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Ryan Janov 15.1% 14.8% 13.4% 12.6% 12.1% 10.2% 8.3% 6.2% 4.1% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Noyl Odom 11.4% 11.4% 13.5% 13.2% 10.5% 10.7% 9.2% 8.4% 6.4% 2.4% 2.1% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Nick Chisari 11.3% 12.9% 12.6% 12.5% 10.3% 9.8% 11.2% 7.4% 6.5% 2.8% 1.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Piper Holthus 18.1% 16.2% 14.3% 13.9% 12.0% 8.7% 6.9% 5.3% 2.9% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Max Kleha 4.7% 4.4% 5.5% 5.2% 8.1% 6.4% 8.1% 9.8% 12.3% 11.1% 11.0% 9.8% 3.6% 0.0%
Reid Shanabrook 1.9% 2.5% 3.3% 3.8% 2.8% 3.9% 5.8% 9.0% 8.8% 13.1% 14.6% 16.7% 13.8% 0.0%
Cooper Walshe 16.8% 12.8% 13.2% 11.4% 13.7% 9.1% 9.3% 5.9% 3.5% 2.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Max Shapiro 1.1% 2.5% 1.5% 2.3% 3.1% 3.2% 3.2% 5.1% 6.8% 11.7% 14.0% 18.4% 27.1% 0.0%
Daniel Hodges 3.9% 4.9% 4.4% 5.4% 5.8% 7.8% 9.0% 9.0% 13.2% 12.1% 10.9% 9.1% 4.5% 0.0%
Gannon Troutman 5.6% 4.1% 4.9% 5.5% 6.6% 9.8% 7.5% 10.4% 12.8% 10.6% 11.0% 7.1% 4.1% 0.0%
Taylor Walshe 7.4% 9.6% 9.1% 8.3% 8.7% 12.5% 11.6% 9.5% 7.7% 7.8% 4.3% 2.8% 0.7% 0.0%
Reid Shanabrook 1.9% 2.5% 3.3% 3.8% 2.8% 3.9% 5.8% 9.0% 8.8% 13.1% 14.6% 16.7% 13.8% 0.0%
Sam Dutilly 0.7% 0.9% 1.9% 2.1% 1.8% 2.5% 4.1% 4.7% 5.7% 8.8% 12.4% 17.7% 36.7% 0.0%
Benjamin Chitterling 2.0% 3.0% 2.4% 3.8% 4.5% 5.4% 5.8% 9.3% 9.3% 13.9% 15.3% 16.1% 9.2% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.