Race 3B

riley-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Piper Holthus 18.0% 15.5% 14.6% 13.3% 12.4% 8.2% 7.9% 5.2% 2.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Nick Chisari 11.8% 12.4% 11.8% 13.2% 12.1% 10.9% 8.6% 8.5% 5.0% 2.8% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Noyl Odom 10.9% 12.5% 13.6% 11.5% 10.9% 11.1% 9.9% 7.4% 6.7% 2.6% 2.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Cooper Walshe 14.8% 12.7% 14.4% 12.5% 10.7% 10.7% 8.6% 7.3% 3.8% 3.2% 1.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Ryan Janov 15.6% 15.5% 13.5% 12.3% 10.2% 10.6% 9.2% 6.4% 3.5% 1.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Taylor Walshe 7.3% 8.6% 8.3% 9.3% 10.0% 10.1% 10.3% 9.9% 9.6% 8.1% 5.2% 2.6% 0.7% 0.0%
Max Kleha 5.4% 3.8% 5.3% 6.9% 6.5% 5.8% 8.3% 10.3% 12.3% 11.3% 13.0% 7.3% 3.8% 0.0%
Daniel Hodges 4.2% 5.8% 3.6% 6.5% 6.1% 7.0% 9.7% 10.2% 11.4% 13.5% 10.2% 8.1% 3.7% 0.0%
Max Shapiro 1.4% 2.1% 2.0% 2.0% 3.4% 2.6% 3.3% 4.9% 6.9% 9.5% 13.6% 20.5% 27.8% 0.0%
Gannon Troutman 5.5% 5.2% 4.0% 4.6% 7.3% 8.9% 9.6% 9.8% 11.5% 10.3% 11.7% 8.0% 3.6% 0.0%
Reid Shanabrook 1.7% 2.1% 3.4% 2.7% 4.7% 5.5% 5.4% 7.7% 9.9% 13.6% 13.9% 16.0% 13.4% 0.0%
Benjamin Chitterling 2.1% 2.9% 3.4% 4.2% 4.4% 5.0% 7.0% 7.3% 10.8% 11.9% 13.7% 15.3% 12.0% 0.0%
Reid Shanabrook 1.7% 2.1% 3.4% 2.7% 4.7% 5.5% 5.4% 7.7% 9.9% 13.6% 13.9% 16.0% 13.4% 0.0%
Sam Dutilly 1.3% 0.9% 2.1% 1.0% 1.3% 3.6% 2.2% 5.1% 6.1% 9.7% 12.0% 20.5% 34.2% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.