Race 4B

riley-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Piper Holthus 16.9% 17.0% 14.0% 14.2% 11.2% 9.8% 6.6% 5.6% 2.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Nick Chisari 12.8% 10.9% 13.1% 11.7% 11.9% 11.1% 8.7% 8.1% 5.2% 4.1% 1.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Cooper Walshe 14.5% 13.6% 14.2% 12.2% 11.0% 10.4% 9.2% 6.8% 4.5% 2.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Taylor Walshe 7.2% 8.4% 7.4% 9.6% 10.4% 9.7% 11.1% 9.6% 10.5% 7.3% 6.1% 1.7% 1.0% 0.0%
Reid Shanabrook 2.3% 3.3% 2.4% 3.1% 4.2% 4.9% 5.5% 7.1% 9.3% 10.9% 15.4% 18.0% 13.6% 0.0%
Ryan Janov 15.8% 15.8% 14.2% 11.7% 11.6% 9.8% 7.4% 6.3% 3.5% 2.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Noyl Odom 13.6% 12.3% 10.9% 11.2% 11.9% 11.8% 9.6% 7.6% 5.8% 2.8% 1.6% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Benjamin Chitterling 2.5% 3.4% 3.3% 3.5% 4.9% 4.6% 6.9% 8.8% 10.0% 14.2% 13.5% 15.5% 8.9% 0.0%
Daniel Hodges 4.3% 4.6% 4.1% 5.6% 5.4% 8.1% 8.9% 11.1% 11.6% 11.5% 12.7% 7.3% 4.8% 0.0%
Max Shapiro 1.4% 1.7% 2.5% 2.3% 2.7% 2.6% 4.1% 5.2% 8.3% 9.8% 11.9% 20.8% 26.7% 0.0%
Max Kleha 4.0% 3.5% 7.3% 6.3% 6.9% 6.2% 10.5% 11.0% 10.9% 10.4% 11.7% 7.5% 3.8% 0.0%
Gannon Troutman 3.6% 4.3% 5.3% 6.8% 6.6% 7.8% 8.4% 8.5% 12.6% 13.4% 9.5% 9.0% 4.2% 0.0%
Reid Shanabrook 2.3% 3.3% 2.4% 3.1% 4.2% 4.9% 5.5% 7.1% 9.3% 10.9% 15.4% 18.0% 13.6% 0.0%
Sam Dutilly 1.1% 1.2% 1.3% 1.8% 1.3% 3.2% 3.1% 4.3% 5.0% 9.4% 14.5% 17.0% 36.8% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.