Race 5B

riley-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Ryan Janov 14.7% 14.3% 14.2% 12.3% 12.6% 10.8% 7.6% 5.7% 4.3% 2.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Max Kleha 4.3% 4.6% 4.5% 5.7% 6.0% 6.3% 8.0% 13.2% 11.8% 11.7% 11.8% 7.7% 4.4% 0.0%
Noyl Odom 10.5% 13.2% 13.3% 10.4% 14.0% 9.8% 9.3% 7.7% 6.1% 3.8% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Taylor Walshe 8.4% 6.8% 7.7% 9.7% 9.7% 10.6% 11.0% 10.1% 10.1% 6.8% 5.4% 3.0% 0.7% 0.0%
Nick Chisari 13.1% 13.0% 11.4% 11.3% 10.9% 12.1% 9.9% 7.4% 4.3% 3.6% 2.2% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Benjamin Chitterling 2.2% 3.6% 4.0% 3.8% 4.3% 4.2% 8.7% 8.9% 8.8% 14.1% 13.2% 14.7% 9.5% 0.0%
Piper Holthus 18.2% 16.2% 14.0% 14.6% 10.3% 9.4% 6.8% 4.5% 3.5% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Daniel Hodges 4.4% 4.8% 4.9% 4.4% 7.3% 8.1% 8.3% 10.9% 12.9% 12.5% 10.8% 7.6% 3.1% 0.0%
Reid Shanabrook 2.2% 2.7% 2.8% 3.3% 4.5% 3.6% 5.1% 6.0% 9.5% 12.0% 14.4% 17.7% 16.2% 0.0%
Cooper Walshe 15.4% 14.6% 12.8% 13.2% 10.2% 10.4% 7.8% 5.8% 4.6% 2.7% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Gannon Troutman 4.0% 4.6% 6.4% 7.5% 6.4% 7.7% 10.0% 11.6% 11.3% 10.4% 11.1% 6.0% 3.0% 0.0%
Max Shapiro 1.4% 1.0% 2.0% 1.9% 2.2% 4.1% 4.6% 4.3% 5.6% 9.7% 13.4% 21.1% 28.7% 0.0%
Sam Dutilly 1.2% 0.6% 2.0% 1.9% 1.6% 2.9% 2.9% 3.9% 7.2% 8.9% 12.5% 20.2% 34.2% 0.0%
Reid Shanabrook 2.2% 2.7% 2.8% 3.3% 4.5% 3.6% 5.1% 6.0% 9.5% 12.0% 14.4% 17.7% 16.2% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.