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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.39+3.38vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.08+5.82vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.69+3.21vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech0.47+5.41vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.18-0.20vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.35-1.61vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.55-3.04vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.68+0.82vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College2.19-4.10vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College1.16-2.35vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University1.11-3.43vs Predicted
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12Washington College0.09-1.62vs Predicted
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13William and Mary-0.06-2.30vs Predicted
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14Virginia Tech0.47-4.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.38George Washington University2.390.1%1st Place
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7.82St. Mary's College of Maryland1.080.0%1st Place
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6.21Georgetown University1.690.1%1st Place
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9.41Virginia Tech0.470.0%1st Place
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4.8Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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4.39U. S. Naval Academy2.350.2%1st Place
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3.96Georgetown University2.550.2%1st Place
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8.82St. Mary's College of Maryland0.680.0%1st Place
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4.9SUNY Maritime College2.190.1%1st Place
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7.65SUNY Maritime College1.160.1%1st Place
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7.57Christopher Newport University1.110.0%1st Place
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10.38Washington College0.090.0%1st Place
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10.7William and Mary-0.060.0%1st Place
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9.41Virginia Tech0.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Janov | 14.5% | 14.6% | 14.4% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Kleha | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Walshe | 6.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 12.7% | 15.0% | 17.0% | 15.0% | 0.0% |
| Noyl Odom | 13.0% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Walshe | 15.3% | 14.5% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 18.4% | 17.2% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Chitterling | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 15.3% | 16.1% | 8.1% | 0.0% |
| Nick Chisari | 12.1% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gannon Troutman | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hodges | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Max Shapiro | 1.5% | 0.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 13.7% | 18.5% | 30.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Dutilly | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 19.0% | 35.0% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 12.7% | 15.0% | 17.0% | 15.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.