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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.18+3.80vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College2.19+2.83vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.39+1.30vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University1.69+2.11vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.35-0.61vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College1.16+1.50vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.55-3.09vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.08-0.35vs Predicted
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9Virginia Tech0.47+0.36vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University0.78-1.44vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland0.68-2.38vs Predicted
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12Washington College0.09-1.69vs Predicted
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13William and Mary-0.06-2.34vs Predicted
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14Virginia Tech0.47-4.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.8Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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4.83SUNY Maritime College2.190.1%1st Place
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4.3George Washington University2.390.1%1st Place
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6.11Georgetown University1.690.1%1st Place
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4.39U. S. Naval Academy2.350.2%1st Place
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7.5SUNY Maritime College1.160.0%1st Place
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3.91Georgetown University2.550.2%1st Place
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7.65St. Mary's College of Maryland1.080.0%1st Place
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9.36Virginia Tech0.470.0%1st Place
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8.56Christopher Newport University0.780.0%1st Place
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8.62St. Mary's College of Maryland0.680.0%1st Place
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10.31Washington College0.090.0%1st Place
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10.66William and Mary-0.060.0%1st Place
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9.36Virginia Tech0.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noyl Odom | 11.7% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 14.4% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nick Chisari | 12.8% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Janov | 14.9% | 15.0% | 14.5% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Walshe | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Walshe | 15.5% | 14.8% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gannon Troutman | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 18.3% | 17.2% | 14.3% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Kleha | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 14.6% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 15.5% | 16.8% | 15.1% | 0.0% |
| Luke Hayes | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Chitterling | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Shapiro | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 16.0% | 18.3% | 27.8% | 0.0% |
| Sam Dutilly | 1.2% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 13.4% | 20.1% | 32.7% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 15.5% | 16.8% | 15.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.