Race 8B

riley-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Reid Shanabrook 2.5% 2.2% 2.4% 2.8% 4.3% 4.6% 7.0% 7.8% 8.4% 12.3% 15.0% 16.8% 13.9% 0.0%
Cooper Walshe 13.9% 13.8% 14.6% 14.4% 11.9% 8.5% 9.2% 5.0% 4.6% 2.4% 1.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Nick Chisari 11.2% 13.6% 13.3% 11.1% 10.7% 12.5% 9.3% 8.1% 5.4% 3.2% 1.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Piper Holthus 18.0% 16.7% 15.1% 13.2% 10.7% 9.8% 7.0% 4.8% 2.6% 1.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Taylor Walshe 8.8% 8.1% 8.3% 10.0% 9.7% 11.2% 10.2% 9.8% 9.8% 6.3% 4.7% 2.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Max Kleha 4.3% 4.1% 4.7% 6.2% 6.7% 7.8% 8.3% 10.9% 12.2% 10.5% 12.4% 8.2% 3.7% 0.0%
Ryan Janov 17.2% 14.6% 12.5% 11.5% 14.5% 9.2% 7.8% 5.6% 3.4% 2.3% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Gannon Troutman 4.3% 5.2% 5.6% 6.1% 6.1% 8.4% 10.0% 10.1% 13.0% 12.8% 8.3% 8.0% 2.1% 0.0%
Noyl Odom 12.0% 12.8% 12.3% 11.7% 11.6% 10.7% 8.7% 8.3% 5.7% 3.9% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Benjamin Chitterling 3.0% 2.9% 4.0% 3.3% 4.8% 5.0% 6.5% 8.0% 11.8% 12.3% 14.8% 13.3% 10.3% 0.0%
Luke Hayes 3.0% 2.7% 3.8% 5.8% 5.0% 6.9% 7.6% 10.5% 10.8% 14.3% 11.8% 11.7% 6.1% 0.0%
Max Shapiro 0.8% 2.0% 1.8% 2.1% 2.0% 3.4% 5.4% 5.7% 5.8% 9.0% 14.2% 18.2% 29.6% 0.0%
Reid Shanabrook 2.5% 2.2% 2.4% 2.8% 4.3% 4.6% 7.0% 7.8% 8.4% 12.3% 15.0% 16.8% 13.9% 0.0%
Sam Dutilly 1.0% 1.3% 1.6% 1.8% 2.0% 2.0% 3.0% 5.4% 6.5% 9.0% 13.7% 19.2% 33.5% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.