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📊 Prediction Accuracy

64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Hank Seum 23.6% 22.6% 17.9% 12.5% 10.1% 5.8% 4.4% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jordan Vieira 16.5% 16.2% 15.0% 15.3% 11.2% 10.2% 8.0% 4.5% 1.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Stefanos Pappas 13.2% 13.8% 12.8% 13.9% 12.8% 11.2% 10.0% 6.0% 3.9% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Kailey Warrior 14.9% 13.3% 14.4% 14.4% 14.8% 11.3% 7.7% 4.5% 2.4% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1%
Grace Jones 11.5% 11.7% 14.0% 12.4% 13.8% 12.3% 9.9% 7.5% 3.7% 1.8% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
William Mullray 2.2% 2.9% 3.6% 3.6% 5.0% 5.1% 6.5% 11.2% 10.7% 12.6% 14.3% 13.4% 6.8% 2.0%
Timothy Dolan 1.6% 2.1% 2.2% 2.5% 3.8% 4.3% 5.4% 8.2% 10.4% 12.3% 14.3% 16.2% 12.4% 4.3%
Lily Schwartz 4.2% 5.4% 5.0% 5.6% 6.9% 9.3% 11.2% 13.6% 12.2% 11.3% 8.5% 4.8% 1.7% 0.4%
Ella Lansford 5.0% 4.3% 4.8% 7.1% 6.9% 9.9% 10.9% 11.4% 12.7% 10.5% 8.9% 5.1% 2.4% 0.1%
Kaan Akdogan 1.6% 1.6% 2.1% 3.0% 3.9% 5.4% 5.5% 7.5% 11.4% 12.8% 15.8% 16.6% 9.5% 3.5%
Garrett Floerchinger 3.4% 3.5% 4.8% 4.8% 5.5% 8.2% 11.1% 11.1% 14.0% 12.8% 9.2% 7.4% 4.0% 0.4%
Nicolas Benavides 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.7% 0.8% 0.8% 1.4% 2.0% 2.5% 4.0% 5.4% 8.9% 23.2% 49.5%
Nathan Hjort 1.6% 1.8% 2.2% 3.0% 3.6% 4.7% 6.3% 7.8% 10.2% 13.4% 14.4% 15.7% 11.7% 3.7%
Austin Rupert 0.4% 0.5% 0.9% 1.1% 1.0% 1.4% 1.8% 2.9% 3.5% 4.2% 6.8% 11.3% 28.3% 35.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.