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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.45+2.15vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.17+1.94vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.84+1.45vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.07+0.19vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida0.83-0.34vs Predicted
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6Florida Institute of Technology-0.88+2.80vs Predicted
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7Embry-Riddle University-1.83+2.61vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College-0.17-0.70vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University-0.31-1.71vs Predicted
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10Florida State University-1.06-0.52vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida-0.31-3.13vs Predicted
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12University of Central Florida-2.68+0.62vs Predicted
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13Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.11-3.48vs Predicted
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14Unknown School-2.40-1.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.15Jacksonville University1.4523.6%1st Place
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3.94Eckerd College1.1716.5%1st Place
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4.45Jacksonville University0.8413.2%1st Place
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4.19University of South Florida1.0714.9%1st Place
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4.66University of South Florida0.8311.5%1st Place
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8.8Florida Institute of Technology-0.882.2%1st Place
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9.61Embry-Riddle University-1.831.6%1st Place
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7.3Eckerd College-0.174.2%1st Place
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7.29Jacksonville University-0.315.0%1st Place
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9.48Florida State University-1.061.6%1st Place
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7.87University of South Florida-0.313.4%1st Place
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12.62University of Central Florida-2.680.2%1st Place
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9.52Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.111.6%1st Place
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12.12Unknown School-2.400.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
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Hank Seum | 23.6% | 22.6% | 17.9% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Jordan Vieira | 16.5% | 16.2% | 15.0% | 15.3% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
Stefanos Pappas | 13.2% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Kailey Warrior | 14.9% | 13.3% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 14.8% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
Grace Jones | 11.5% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
William Mullray | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 6.8% | 2.0% |
Timothy Dolan | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 14.3% | 16.2% | 12.4% | 4.3% |
Lily Schwartz | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
Ella Lansford | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
Kaan Akdogan | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 15.8% | 16.6% | 9.5% | 3.5% |
Garrett Floerchinger | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
Nicolas Benavides | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 23.2% | 49.5% |
Nathan Hjort | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 15.7% | 11.7% | 3.7% |
Austin Rupert | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 11.3% | 28.3% | 35.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.