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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College2.19+3.81vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.55+1.86vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.69+3.19vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.18+0.84vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech0.47+4.71vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.35-1.49vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.08+0.70vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.39-3.62vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College1.16-1.24vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University0.78-1.09vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland0.68-1.84vs Predicted
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12William and Mary-0.06-1.00vs Predicted
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13Washington College0.09-2.46vs Predicted
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14Catholic University of America-0.38-2.40vs Predicted
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15Virginia Tech0.47-5.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.81SUNY Maritime College2.190.1%1st Place
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3.86Georgetown University2.550.2%1st Place
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6.19Georgetown University1.690.1%1st Place
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4.84Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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9.71Virginia Tech0.470.0%1st Place
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4.51U. S. Naval Academy2.350.1%1st Place
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7.7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.080.0%1st Place
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4.38George Washington University2.390.2%1st Place
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7.76SUNY Maritime College1.160.1%1st Place
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8.91Christopher Newport University0.780.0%1st Place
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9.16St. Mary's College of Maryland0.680.0%1st Place
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11.0William and Mary-0.060.0%1st Place
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10.54Washington College0.090.0%1st Place
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11.6Catholic University of America-0.380.0%1st Place
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9.71Virginia Tech0.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Chisari | 11.8% | 14.6% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 18.7% | 16.3% | 16.9% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Walshe | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Noyl Odom | 12.0% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 14.5% | 9.3% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Walshe | 13.7% | 12.9% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Kleha | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Janov | 15.7% | 15.4% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gannon Troutman | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Luke Hayes | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Chitterling | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
| Sam Dutilly | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 12.5% | 14.8% | 18.0% | 22.6% | 0.0% |
| Max Shapiro | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 14.4% | 18.0% | 17.6% | 0.0% |
| Alex Walters | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 12.2% | 19.4% | 34.8% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 14.5% | 9.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.