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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University2.54+3.53vs Predicted
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2Florida State University2.38+3.10vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.75+4.11vs Predicted
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4Georgia Institute of Technology0.41+7.70vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.84+1.76vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida0.39+5.67vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston1.75+0.21vs Predicted
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8Clemson University0.79+2.27vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University1.75-1.89vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.17-4.34vs Predicted
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11University of Miami2.66-6.59vs Predicted
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12Duke University0.95-2.17vs Predicted
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13The Citadel1.11-3.69vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.24-5.24vs Predicted
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15Embry-Riddle University0.81-4.80vs Predicted
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16University of South Carolina0.72-5.23vs Predicted
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17Rollins College0.07-4.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.53North Carolina State University2.540.2%1st Place
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5.1Florida State University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.11Jacksonville University1.750.1%1st Place
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11.7Georgia Institute of Technology0.410.0%1st Place
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6.76Eckerd College1.840.1%1st Place
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11.67University of South Florida0.390.0%1st Place
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7.21College of Charleston1.750.1%1st Place
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10.27Clemson University0.790.0%1st Place
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7.11Jacksonville University1.750.1%1st Place
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5.66College of Charleston2.170.1%1st Place
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4.41University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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9.83Duke University0.950.0%1st Place
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9.31The Citadel1.110.0%1st Place
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8.76University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
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10.2Embry-Riddle University0.810.0%1st Place
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10.77University of South Carolina0.720.0%1st Place
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12.73Rollins College0.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Harris | 16.1% | 14.7% | 14.5% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 13.3% | 14.2% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Martelli | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 19.6% | 0.0% |
| Sean Tallman | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Coby Flannery | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 14.3% | 17.8% | 0.0% |
| Grace Squires | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Charles Mckenzie | 10.7% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 15.2% | 14.0% | 15.1% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Walters | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Hardt | 3.3% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| Ian Street | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 8.2% | 0.0% |
| Carly Orhan | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 17.0% | 27.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.