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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.66+3.22vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.75+5.02vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.17+2.71vs Predicted
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4The Citadel1.11+5.45vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.75+2.02vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University2.54-1.29vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.24+1.95vs Predicted
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8Rollins College0.07+4.57vs Predicted
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9Florida State University2.38-3.97vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston1.75-2.92vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College1.84-4.15vs Predicted
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12Clemson University0.79-1.66vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida0.39-1.38vs Predicted
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14Duke University0.95-4.19vs Predicted
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15University of South Carolina0.72-4.47vs Predicted
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16Georgia Institute of Technology0.41-4.29vs Predicted
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18Embry-Riddle University0.81-7.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.22University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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7.02Jacksonville University1.750.1%1st Place
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5.71College of Charleston2.170.1%1st Place
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9.45The Citadel1.110.0%1st Place
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7.02Jacksonville University1.750.1%1st Place
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4.71North Carolina State University2.540.1%1st Place
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8.95University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
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12.57Rollins College0.070.0%1st Place
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5.03Florida State University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.08College of Charleston1.750.1%1st Place
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6.85Eckerd College1.840.1%1st Place
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10.34Clemson University0.790.0%1st Place
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11.62University of South Florida0.390.0%1st Place
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9.81Duke University0.950.0%1st Place
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10.53University of South Carolina0.720.0%1st Place
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11.71Georgia Institute of Technology0.410.0%1st Place
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10.39Embry-Riddle University0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlee Kohl | 17.9% | 15.8% | 15.8% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Charles Mckenzie | 11.6% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Walters | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Scott Harris | 13.5% | 15.6% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Carly Orhan | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 15.1% | 29.9% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 13.1% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Squires | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Sean Tallman | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 2.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 0.0% |
| Coby Flannery | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 14.8% | 17.0% | 0.0% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Street | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Martelli | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 15.6% | 16.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Hardt | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.