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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University2.54+3.49vs Predicted
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2Florida State University2.38+3.04vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.75+4.16vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.84+2.93vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.75+2.16vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.17-0.23vs Predicted
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7Duke University0.95+2.97vs Predicted
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8Rollins College0.07+4.64vs Predicted
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9The Citadel1.11+0.19vs Predicted
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10Clemson University0.79+0.33vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston1.75-3.83vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology0.41-0.42vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.24-4.14vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University0.81-3.68vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.27-7.37vs Predicted
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17University of Miami2.27-11.49vs Predicted
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18University of South Carolina0.17-5.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.49North Carolina State University2.540.2%1st Place
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5.04Florida State University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.16Jacksonville University1.750.1%1st Place
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6.93Eckerd College1.840.1%1st Place
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7.16Jacksonville University1.750.1%1st Place
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5.77College of Charleston2.170.1%1st Place
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9.97Duke University0.950.0%1st Place
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12.64Rollins College0.070.0%1st Place
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9.19The Citadel1.110.0%1st Place
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10.33Clemson University0.790.0%1st Place
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7.17College of Charleston1.750.1%1st Place
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11.58Georgia Institute of Technology0.410.0%1st Place
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8.86University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
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10.32Embry-Riddle University0.810.0%1st Place
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8.63University of South Florida1.270.0%1st Place
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5.51University of Miami2.270.1%1st Place
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12.42University of South Carolina0.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Harris | 17.0% | 15.7% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 14.4% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Sean Tallman | 6.4% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Charles Mckenzie | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
| Carly Orhan | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 17.3% | 29.8% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Walters | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| Grace Squires | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Martelli | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 15.3% | 16.7% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Hardt | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 12.1% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Neil Bunce | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 13.2% | 18.3% | 22.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.