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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College1.84+5.72vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.75+5.03vs Predicted
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3Florida State University2.38+2.04vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University2.54+0.67vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.27+3.83vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.24+2.95vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston1.75+0.17vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.75-0.97vs Predicted
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9The Citadel1.11+0.17vs Predicted
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10Clemson University0.79+0.34vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology0.41+0.76vs Predicted
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12Duke University0.95-2.15vs Predicted
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13University of South Carolina0.17-0.63vs Predicted
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14Rollins College0.07-1.39vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston2.17-9.41vs Predicted
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16University of Miami2.27-10.53vs Predicted
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17Embry-Riddle University0.81-6.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.72Eckerd College1.840.1%1st Place
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7.03Jacksonville University1.750.1%1st Place
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5.04Florida State University2.380.1%1st Place
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4.67North Carolina State University2.540.2%1st Place
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8.83University of South Florida1.270.0%1st Place
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8.95University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
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7.17College of Charleston1.750.1%1st Place
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7.03Jacksonville University1.750.1%1st Place
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9.17The Citadel1.110.0%1st Place
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10.34Clemson University0.790.0%1st Place
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11.76Georgia Institute of Technology0.410.0%1st Place
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9.85Duke University0.950.0%1st Place
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12.37University of South Carolina0.170.0%1st Place
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12.61Rollins College0.070.0%1st Place
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5.59College of Charleston2.170.1%1st Place
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5.47University of Miami2.270.1%1st Place
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10.44Embry-Riddle University0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Tallman | 7.2% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 12.7% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Harris | 15.2% | 14.6% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Grace Squires | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Walters | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Martelli | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 15.1% | 15.9% | 0.0% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| Neil Bunce | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 17.5% | 25.3% | 0.0% |
| Carly Orhan | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 18.0% | 27.2% | 0.0% |
| Charles Mckenzie | 11.8% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 12.2% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Hardt | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.