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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University2.54+3.50vs Predicted
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2Florida State University2.38+3.05vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.75+4.15vs Predicted
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4The Citadel1.11+5.50vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.24+3.90vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.75+1.15vs Predicted
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7Duke University0.95+2.94vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.84-1.16vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.17-3.43vs Predicted
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10University of South Carolina0.17+2.31vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University0.81-0.62vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology0.41-0.40vs Predicted
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13University of Miami2.27-7.58vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.27-5.27vs Predicted
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16Rollins College0.07-3.44vs Predicted
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17Clemson University0.79-6.52vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston1.75-10.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.5North Carolina State University2.540.2%1st Place
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5.05Florida State University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.15Jacksonville University1.750.1%1st Place
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9.5The Citadel1.110.0%1st Place
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8.9University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
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7.15Jacksonville University1.750.1%1st Place
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9.94Duke University0.950.0%1st Place
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6.84Eckerd College1.840.1%1st Place
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5.57College of Charleston2.170.1%1st Place
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12.31University of South Carolina0.170.0%1st Place
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10.38Embry-Riddle University0.810.0%1st Place
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11.6Georgia Institute of Technology0.410.0%1st Place
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5.42University of Miami2.270.1%1st Place
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8.73University of South Florida1.270.0%1st Place
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12.56Rollins College0.070.0%1st Place
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10.48Clemson University0.790.0%1st Place
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7.08College of Charleston1.750.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Harris | 15.9% | 14.4% | 15.6% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 13.6% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Walters | 2.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 2.9% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Sean Tallman | 9.0% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Mckenzie | 11.6% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Neil Bunce | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 12.3% | 17.2% | 23.5% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Hardt | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Martelli | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 14.7% | 17.8% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 12.0% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Carly Orhan | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 17.0% | 26.7% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 0.0% |
| Grace Squires | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.